Iranian drones have knocked out a $2 billion US radar installation located in Qatar, dealing a significant blow to military surveillance and defense capabilities in the Gulf. According to former US Navy intelligence officer Malcolm Nance, this radar system was essential for controlling airspace across the region.

The offensive did not stop there, as Iranian forces also targeted THAAD radar sites in the UAE and Jordan. This coordinated strike suggests a calculated move to disrupt the network of air defenses protecting US and allied interests in the Gulf.

The backdrop to these attacks is a surge in military tensions between Tehran and Washington, with recent exchanges of strikes intensifying regional instability. Market responses have factored in an increased chance that Iran might impose a full closure of its airspace before the month ends.

There is close attention on the Civil Aviation Organization of Iran for any official word on airspace restrictions. Notifications similar to a NOTAM could confirm such measures and influence market activity. Statements from US leadership or renewed commercial flights passing over Iran could signal easing tensions.