USCR, a memecoin tied to the official U.S. crypto reserve updates, settled near $0.0022 after slipping to its lowest point in two months. The token showed signs of regaining strength, with price action turning positive and on track to rise above critical short-term moving averages.

In May, USCR surged over 65%, climbing from $0.0022 to $0.0036. June brought a sharp reversal, causing losses to deepen by 37%, which brought the token back close to its May lows. Should buyers push the price above these moving averages, the next immediate resistance is the 50% Fibonacci retracement at $0.0028, followed by a possible retest of the May peak at $0.0036.

This progression could translate into a potential 30% to 60% gain if these targets are reached.

Factors Behind Price Movement

The memecoin’s performance strongly correlates with developments around the U.S. Bitcoin strategic reserve. Its May rally coincided with improved odds of the reserve’s establishment rising from 22% to over 36%. This sentiment boost came as over 21 U.S. lawmakers introduced a bill to formalize the Bitcoin reserve.

However, the bill has stalled in committee and faces slim chances of passage due to the compressed congressional calendar. Market odds for the Bitcoin reserve’s formation before 2027 fell to 18%, the lowest of the year, mirroring USCR’s bearish phase.

Holder Base and Market Outlook

Despite regulatory uncertainty, USCR’s holder count remains solid. CoinMarketCap data shows holders dipped slightly by 4,000 this year, from 54,000 to 48,000, suggesting sustained investor conviction.

The future trajectory of USCR largely depends on fresh developments related to the U.S. Bitcoin reserve bill. Without progress on this front, further recovery attempts could stall or fail to gain traction.

This content is for informational purposes and does not constitute financial advice.