France’s gambling regulator has mandated internet providers to block Polymarket just days before the national team confronts England for the FIFA World Cup 2026 third-place playoff. The National Gambling Authority (ANJ) designated Polymarket as an illegal betting platform and underscored risks of market manipulation amid rising interest in this high-profile match.
Regulatory Actions and Market Impact
The ANJ’s president issued a directive for a full blackout of Polymarket in France, citing the platform’s promotion of unauthorized gambling activities. Authorities noted that Polymarket attracts a substantial user base while violating legal frameworks. The ANJ also raised concerns about wager manipulation possibilities linked to the platform.
This step aligns with increasing pressure on Polymarket in multiple jurisdictions. The Netherlands had previously warned of imposing heavy fines on the platform earlier in the year. Meanwhile, Kentucky’s attorney general filed a lawsuit targeting Polymarket and competitor Kalshi, reflecting transatlantic scrutiny of prediction markets. Australia recently reinforced restrictions on gambling advertisements during live sports, tightening controls on betting influences.
Polymarket is exploring expansion into more accommodating environments, reportedly aiming for regulatory approval in Japan by 2030. This approach highlights a widening divide between regulatory authorities prioritizing consumer protection and Polymarket’s claim that its contracts represent legitimate price discovery mechanisms rather than gambling products.
The French ban does not affect international users, yet it symbolizes a firm stance by regulators who are reluctant to wait for the industry to self-regulate. Market participants remain engaged, with Polymarket pricing France’s likelihood of winning the World Cup bronze medal match at roughly 67 cents, implying a 67% chance. This sustained interest occurs despite growing regulatory headwinds.
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