TD9 Monthly Signal Triggers First BTC Reversal Indicator Since July 2022
Bitcoin has registered a TD9 reversal signal for the first time since July 2022, with analysts drawing parallels to the final stages of the last major BTC bear market cycle.
A key technical indicator has flashed a potential bear market reversal signal for Bitcoin for the first time since July 2022, drawing comparisons to the closing stages of the last major BTC price downtrend.
The TD Sequential indicator — specifically its TD9 count — has registered a setup completion on Bitcoin's price chart. Analysts note that the current signal mirrors the pattern observed at the tail end of the 2022 bear market cycle, which ultimately marked a significant macro bottom for BTC.
The TD9 indicator is a component of the TD Sequential system developed by market technician Tom DeMark. It counts nine consecutive price bars closing lower than the bar four periods prior, generating a potential exhaustion signal. When the count completes at nine, it suggests that selling pressure may be reaching a point of depletion and that a trend reversal could be imminent.
The last time this specific signal appeared on Bitcoin's chart was in July 2022, a period that preceded what many analysts later identified as the final phase of that bear market. BTC subsequently bottomed and entered a prolonged recovery phase in the months that followed.
Current market participants are watching the new TD9 signal closely as an early technical warning that the prevailing bearish trend may be losing momentum. The appearance of the signal does not guarantee an immediate price reversal, but historically it has aligned with key inflection points in Bitcoin's price cycles.
Bear market bottom indicators are particularly scrutinised by institutional and retail traders alike, given the asset's history of sharp recoveries following prolonged downturns. Technical analysts typically combine the TD9 signal with volume data, on-chain metrics, and macro conditions before drawing broader conclusions about trend direction.
At the time of reporting, no specific price targets or timeframes for a potential recovery have been attached to this signal by analysts cited in the source material. The emergence of the TD9 count nonetheless represents a notable development in the technical landscape for Bitcoin, given the rarity of its occurrence — appearing only once in over two years.
