SPCX stock has fallen to $133.23, marking a significant drop beneath its IPO price of $135 for the first time. At its lowest, the share price plummeted to $132.75, representing a decline of over 30% from its all-time high of $225.64 reached shortly after its June IPO. Investor skepticism is growing as various valuation concerns loom, while fears of early investors potentially liquidating their shares weigh heavily on market sentiment.

The upcoming test flight of Starship, dubbed Test Flight 13, could be a turning point. Launching Thursday with a window opening at 6:45 p.m. ET, SpaceX aims to showcase the capabilities of its larger, more powerful Version 3 rocket. Among its goals, the test includes deploying 20 Starlink V3 satellites and achieving a controlled re-entry into the Indian Ocean, following the troubled 12th test in May that resulted in the loss of the Super Heavy booster.

Despite the challenges faced by SPCX, analysts maintain a generally optimistic outlook. Out of 31 market analysts covering the stock, 27 have rated it as a Buy or Strong Buy, underscoring confidence in the company's long-term strategy and potential. Needham has reaffirmed its Buy rating while increasing its price target to $250 from $200. RBC analyst Ken Herbert highlights the critical role of Starship in SpaceX's vision, positioning it as a linchpin for future growth.

Even as uncertainties persist, Wall Street's confidence remains solid, particularly with the first operational payload launch anticipated later this year. Despite SPCX's struggles, the average price target from analysts stands at $242, significantly higher than its current trading range. The market will be watching closely to see if Thursday's test can reset investor expectations and stabilize the stock.

This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.