Pi Network is encountering significant challenges as its price stabilizes near a crucial support level. Currently, the token trades around $0.0864, reflecting a persistent decline and leaving traders uncertain about the next major price movement. Technical indicators suggest continued bearish momentum, intensifying concerns about the impact of upcoming token unlocks on market dynamics.
The downward trend in the daily PI/USDT chart highlights a series of lower highs and lower lows. Prices remain below crucial Fibonacci retracement levels, indicating sustained selling pressure. Moving averages further support this negative outlook; the 20-day exponential moving average is at $0.1097, underperforming against the 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day averages. This pattern suggests little chance for a robust recovery in the near term.
Current market conditions are underscored by Bollinger Band readings, with the %B slipping below zero. This indicates that PI is trading below the lower Bollinger Band, often signaling an oversold condition. However, oversold markets typically require stronger buying interest for a significant reversal to occur.
Immediate support is positioned at approximately $0.0848. A daily close below this threshold could lead to further declines toward the psychological $0.0800 level, followed by the demand zone surrounding $0.0750 to $0.0700. Resistance, conversely, is observed starting around $0.0977, extending toward the 20-day EMA, suggesting that buyers must regain these levels to potentially shift market momentum.
An additional factor contributing to selling pressure is the expected increase in circulating supply. In the coming month, around 127.5 million PI tokens, equating to approximately 2.05% of the total locked tokens, are scheduled for release. This translates to approximately 4.25 million PI entering circulation daily, raising concerns that the added supply may overwhelm demand.
Among the daily unlock episodes, the most significant release involves 7.45 million PI, marking a vital event for traders monitoring market movements closely.
Despite the cautious market landscape, Pi Network is making strides in ecosystem development. During the recent Pi2Day event, the Core Team introduced several infrastructure products aimed at enhancing real-world adoption. Innovations like SoloHost, which supports AI applications and distributed computing, and services such as Pi Sign-in for third-party authentication and PiVerify for identity verification, highlight the project’s ongoing commitment to expansion.
While the price struggles continue, these developments could provide a foundation for potential recovery, provided that market conditions begin to shift positively in the future.
This material is informational and should not be considered financial advice.



