The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) confirmed strikes on US military installations in Jordan, Kuwait, and other locations, marking a significant escalation in the ongoing Iran-US conflict in 2026. These attacks targeted critical military infrastructure, including F-35 hangars and air defense systems, causing notable damage.

Escalating Military Engagements

The strikes are part of Iran's Operation True Promise 4, launched in retaliation for recent US airstrikes on Iranian territory and the collapse of ceasefire talks over the Strait of Hormuz. This move indicates a strategic shift towards broader and more direct confrontations with US forces and their regional allies, which include Gulf states and Israel.

Market responses have adjusted accordingly, with the probability of further Iranian military actions against Gulf states rising sharply. For July 19, prediction markets indicate a 93.4% likelihood of Iran undertaking additional operations in the region.

Regional and Market Implications

Key regional players such as Saudi Arabia and the UAE are now in focus, as their responses could influence the trajectory of the conflict. Diplomatic efforts and statements from both Iranian and US officials will be critical to watch, as they may signal potential de-escalation or further escalation. Market volatility is expected to continue as new developments emerge, especially around diplomatic initiatives or confirmation of additional strikes.

This material is informational and does not constitute financial advice.